Every prediction market,
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Aggregated probability data from Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and Metaculus — for analysts, researchers and journalists.
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Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 before July 2026?
What the crowd thinks right now
Click any category to explore. Click any market to view the source data.
Will the US impose additional tariffs on EU goods before August 2026?
Will the UK hold a general election before end of 2026?
Will France call an early presidential election before 2027?
Will Trump's approval rating exceed 50% before end of Q2?
Will Germany form a coalition government before June 2026?
Will Keir Starmer's approval rating exceed 40% before end of 2026?
NBA Championship 2026 — Oklahoma City Thunder to win?
UEFA Champions League 2026 — Real Madrid to win?
Will Manchester City win the Premier League 2025/26?
Will Novak Djokovic win a Grand Slam title in 2026?
Will the LA Lakers reach the NBA Finals in 2026?
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup final be held as scheduled?
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 before July 2026?
Will Ethereum exceed $5,000 before September 2026?
Will a spot Solana ETF be approved in the US in 2026?
Will Bitcoin dominance exceed 60% by end of Q2 2026?
Will a major US bank launch a crypto custody product in 2026?
Will the crypto market cap exceed $5 trillion before end of 2026?
Fed holds interest rates unchanged at June 2026 meeting?
Will the US enter a recession in 2026?
Will US CPI inflation drop below 2.5% year-on-year by Q3 2026?
Will the S&P 500 close above 6,000 by end of Q2 2026?
Will the ECB cut rates again before September 2026?
Will UK GDP growth exceed 1.5% in 2026?
Will NVIDIA remain the largest company by market cap at end of Q2 2026?
Will GPT-5 be publicly released before the end of 2026?
Will Apple release an AI-native device in 2026?
Will a self-driving taxi service launch in a European city in 2026?
Will an AI system win a Nobel Prize by 2027?
Will Meta release a standalone AR glasses product in 2026?
Will a US-Iran nuclear deal be reached in 2026?
Will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before end of 2026?
Will China impose new trade restrictions on Taiwan in 2026?
Will NATO expand to include a new member in 2026?
Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test in 2026?
Will there be a significant escalation in the South China Sea in 2026?
Showing 7 markets across all categories · Data refreshes every 5 minutes
Cross-market comparison
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Real-time data
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Probability divergence
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